Abstract:Objective To investigate the relationship of serum levels of IL-6 and TNF-a with chronic postoperative pain (CPSP) in elderly patients underwent hip replacement.Methods Ninty cases of elderly hip replacement patients in our hospital during December 2017 to May 2019 were divided into CPSP group (n = 20) and non-cpsp group (n = 70) according to CPSP 6 months after surgery. Perioperative serum levels of IL-6, TNF-α and clinical data between two groups were compared. Risk factors of CPSP in elderly hip replacement patients were analyzed by logistics regression. Predictive values of perioperative serum levels of IL-6 and TNF-α on CPSP were analyzed by ROC curve.Results ANOVA assay was used to compare the level of IL-6 and TNF-α in two group. The results showed: (1) There were differences of IL-6 and TNF-α at different time points (P < 0.05); (2) The levels of IL-6 and TNF-α had significant differences in the two groups. The levels of IL-6 and TNF-α increased 24 hours, 3 days and 7 days after operation than before surgery (P < 0.05). The levels of IL-6 and TNF in postoperative chronic pain group were higher at these time points than those in the group without postoperative chronic pain; (3) There was a difference in the level change trend of IL-6 and TNF-α in both groups (P < 0.05). The amount of intraoperative blood loss, intraoperative blood transfusion, operation time, operation type, NRS score at 24 hours after operation, and drinking proportion had significant differences between two groups (P < 0.05). Logistic regression analysis showed that: intraoperative blood loss [O^R = 1.945 (95% CI: 1.427, 2.234) ], operation time [O^R = 1.655 (95% CI: 1.307, 1.938) ], NRS score at 24 hours after operation [O^R = 2.453 (95% CI: 1.847, 3.271) ], IL-6 level at 3 days after operation [O^R = 2.210 (95% CI: 1.625, 2.758)] and TNF-α at 3 days after operation [O^R = 2.063 (95% CI: 1.505, 2.460) ] were risk factors for postoperative chronic pain in elderly patients undergoing hip replacement (P <0.05). ROC curve showed that the cut-off value of IL-6 for predicting postoperative chronic pain in elderly patients undergoing hip arthroplasty was 13.75 pg/mL; AUC was 0.830 (95% CI: 0.741, 0.919); sensitivity and specificity were 80.0% (95% CI: 0.687, 0.886) and 70.0% (95% CI: 0.457, 0.881); The cutoff of TNF-α at 3 days after operation value for predicting the incidence of chronic pain in elderly patients undergoing hip replacement was 13.30 pg/mL; AUC was 0.797 (95% CI: 0.689, 0.905); sensitivity and specificity were 72.9% (95% CI: 0.699, 0.828) and 65.0% (95% CI: 0.408, 0.846).Conclusion Abnormal increasing of IL-6 and TNF-α levels at 3 days after surgery,which has certain early prediction value, are independent risk factors of the occurrence of CPSP for elderly hip replacement patients.