Abstract:Objective To investigate the correlation between aquaporin-4 (AQP4) and the severity of hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE) in children and its prognostic value.Methods A total of 137 children with HIE who were admitted to Wuhan No.1 Hospital from June 2019 to May 2021 were selected. According to imaging findings, children with HIE were divided into mild (75 cases), moderate (37 cases) and severe (25 cases) groups. The levels of AQP4 in the cerebrospinal fluid of children with different severity of HIE were compared. The 28-day survival of children with HIE was observed, and the children were divided into death group (34 cases) and survival group (103 cases) according to the survival status. The clinical data of HIE children in the death group and the survival group were compared. Multivariable Logistic regression analysis was performed to determine the risk factors for the prognosis of children with HIE. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted, and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) was used to assess the value of the level of AQP4 in the cerebrospinal fluid for the prognosis of children with HIE.Results The levels of AQP4 in the cerebrospinal fluid of children with HIE in the severe group were higher than those in the mild and moderate groups (P < 0.05). There was no difference in the sex composition, the gestational age, the age in days, the delivery mode, birth weight, the levels of cholesterol, albumin and blood urea nitrogen, the proportion of children with abnormality of umbilical cord, and the frequency of maternal anemia between the death group and the survival group (P >0.05). Compared with the survival group, the Apgar score was lower, the age in days at the time of initial treatment was older, and the proportion of severe cases and the levels of C-reactive protein (CRP), interleukin-8 (IL-8), tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α) and AQP4 were higher in the death group (P < 0.05). The multivariable Logistic regression analysis demonstrated that the age in days at the time of initial treatment [O^R = 2.907 (95% CI: 1.049, 3.758) ], the severe disease [O^R = 3.843 (95% CI: 1.853, 8.027) ] and the level of AQP4 [O^R = 4.175 (95% CI: 2.146, 10.482) ] were factors affecting the death of children with HIE (P < 0.05). The results of ROC curve analysis showed that the optimal cutoff value of the level of AQP4 in the cerebrospinal fluid for predicting the prognosis of HIE children was 21.07 g/L, with the sensitivity, specificity and AUC being 76.47% (95% CI: 58.43, 88.62), 58.44% (95% CI: 76.80, 91.35), and 0.821 (95% CI: 0.747, 0.881), respectively.Conclusions The level of AQP4 in the cerebrospinal fluid is related to the disease severity and prognosis of children with HIE, and is effective in predicting the prognosis of children with HIE.