Abstract:Objective To study the value of ultrasonic measurement of cervical parameters in predicting the risk of premature delivery after cervical cerclage.Methods The clinical data of 310 patients admitted to our hospital for cervical cerclage from January 2019 to January 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. According to the postoperative pregnancy outcome of the patients, they were divided into preterm (n = 83) and full-term (n = 227) groups. The age, mode of delivery, number of previous pregnancies, history of induced abortion, history and duration of cervix surgery, gestational week of cervical cerclage, body mass index, cervix parameters [width of the inner cervical os, distance of stitches from the inner cervical os, distance of stitches from the outer cervical os, anterior cervical angle (ACA), and cervical length (CL) ], serum indicators [white blood cell count, platelet/lymphocyte ratio (PLR), lymphocyte/monocyte ratio (LMR), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), interleukin-2 (IL-2), interleukin-10 (IL-10), and interleukin-17 (IL-17) ] and fetal fibronectin (fFN) levels were compared between the two groups. The values of CL, distance of stitches from the inner cervical os, ACA, white blood cell count, hs-CRP, fFN, IL-2, IL-10, and IL-17 in predicting premature delivery after cervical cerclage was analyzed via receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and the risk factors for premature delivery after cervical cerclage were clarified by multivariable Logistic regression analysis.Results There were no significant differences in age, mode of delivery, number of previous pregnancies, history of induced abortion, history and duration of cervix surgery, gestational week of cervical cerclage, width of the inner cervical os, distance of stitches from the outer cervical os, body mass index, PLR and LMR between the two groups (P > 0.05). Compared with the full-term group, the CL and the distance of stitches from the inner cervical os were shorter, ACA was larger, white blood cell count and levels of hs-CRP, fFN, IL-2 and IL-17 were higher, and the IL-10 level was lower in the preterm group (P < 0.05). ROC curve analysis exhibited that the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of CL was the highest [0.952 (95% CI: 0.910, 0.984) ], the sensitivity of distance of stitches from the inner cervical os was the highest [0.969 (95% CI: 0.713, 0.911) ], and that the specificity of CL was the highest [0.927 (95% CI: 0.643, 0.902) ]. Multivariable Logistic regression analysis showed that CL ≤ 25.266 mm [O^R =2.897 (95% CI: 1.174, 7.149) ], distance of stitches from the inner cervical os ≤ 12.450 mm [O^R = 3.513 (95% CI: 1.665, 7.412) ], ACA ≥ 107.772 [O^R = 2.735 (95% CI: 1.126, 6.643) ], white blood cell count ≥ 10.509×109/L [O^R = 2.684 (95% CI: 1.089, 6.615) ], hs-CRP ≥ 8.860 mg/L [O^R = 2.841 (95% CI: 1.168, 6.910) ], fFN ≥ 50.439 μg/L [O^R = 2.874 (95% CI: 1.167, 7.079) ], IL-2 ≥ 722.622 ng/L [O^R = 2.817 (95% CI: 1.085, 7.314) ], IL-10 ≤ 446.039 ng/L [O^R = 2.669 (95% CI: 1.451, 4.909) ] and IL-17 ≥ 27.237ng/L [O^R = 2.886 (95% CI: 1.054, 7.902) ] were the risk factors for premature delivery after cervical cerclage (P < 0.05).Conclusions Premature delivery after cervical cerclage is related to white blood cell count and serum levels of hs-CRP, fFN, IL-2, IL-10, and IL-17. Cervix parameters including CL, distance of stitches from the inner cervical os, and ACA measured via ultrasound are also of certain value in predicting the risk of premature delivery after cervical cerclage.