Abstract:Objective To investigate the correlation between the changes of intact parathyroid hormone (iPTH) and the time to hypoparathyroidism (PHP) recovery after total thyroidectomy and the predictive value of iPTH levels for the occurrence of permanent PHP.Methods The clinical data of 516 patients with thyroid cancer or benign thyroid lesions who underwent total thyroidectomy in our hospital from January 2017 to September 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. The recovery time of the postoperative serum level of iPTH to the lower limit of the normal range and the distribution of the recovery time were determined. The serum levels of iPTH before the surgery and 24 hours after the surgery were compared among patients with different recovery time. After 6 months of follow-up, the occurrence of permanent PHP in the patients was observed, and the patients were subdivided into the occurrence group and the non-occurrence group according to whether PHP occurred or not. The clinical data of the patients in the occurrence group and the non-occurrence group were compared. The multivariable Logistic regression analysis was performed to determine the risk factors for the occurrence of permanent PHP after total thyroidectomy. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted, and the predictive value of the serum level of iPTH for the occurrence of permanent PHP after total thyroidectomy was analyzed via the area under the ROC curve (AUC).Results There was no significant difference in preoperative iPTH levels in patients undergoing total thyroidectomy with different recovery time (P > 0.05). Compared with patients with recovery time shorter than 1 week, those with recovery time between 1 week to 4 weeks, 1 month to 3 months, 4 to 6 months and that longer than 6 months had lower serum levels of iPTH 24 hours after the surgery (P < 0.05). Compared with patients with recovery time between 1 week to 4 weeks, those with recovery time between 1 month to 3 months, 4 to 6 months and that longer than 6 months had lower serum levels of iPTH 24 hours after the surgery (P < 0.05). Compared with patients with recovery time between 1 month to 3 months, those with recovery time between 4 to 6 months and that longer than 6 months had lower serum levels of iPTH 24 hours after the surgery (P < 0.05). Besides, patients with recovery time longer than 6 months showed even lower serum levels of iPTH 24 hours after the surgery relative to those in patients with recovery time between 4 to 6 months (P < 0.05). The sex composition, age, BMI, the operative duration, the maximal diameter of the nodules, the malignancy of thyroid lesions, the proportion of patients complicating with Hashimoto's thyroiditis, the proportion of patients complicating with hyperthyroidism, the proportion of tumor capsular invasion, the proportions of lymph node dissection in the VI area, the lateral neck, and behind the recurrent laryngeal nerve, the proportion of parathyroid autotransplantation, preoperative serum levels of phosphorus, calcium, and iPTH, and the level of serum phosphorus 24 hours after the surgery were not different between the two groups of patients (P > 0.05). The proportion of patients undergoing I-131 treatment in the occurrence group was higher than that in the non-occurrence group, and the serum levels of calcium and iPTH 24 hours after the surgery in the occurrence group were lower than those in the non-occurrence group (P < 0.05). The multivariable Logistic regression analysis showed that postoperative I-131 treatment [O^R = 3.108, (95% CI: 1.415, 6.829) ], the level of serum calcium 24 hours after the surgery [O^R = 2.768, (95% CI: 1.036, 4.072) ], and the level of serum iPTH 24 hours after the surgery [O^R = 3.380, (95% CI: 1.843, 8.104) ] were risk factors for the occurrence of permanent PHP after total thyroidectomy (P < 0.05). The ROC curve analysis revealed that the sensitivity, specificity and AUC of the serum iPTH level for predicting the occurrence of permanent PHP after total thyroidectomy were 81.48% (95% CI: 0.613, 0.930), 76.69% (95% CI: 0.726, 0.803), and 0.817 (95% CI: 0.781, 0.850), respectively.Conclusions The serum iPTH level 24 hours after total thyroidectomy is related to the recovery time of PHP, and exhibits a high predictive value for the occurrence of permanent PHP.