Abstract:Objective To explore the value of real-time two-dimensional shear wave elastography in predicting the risk of variceal bleeding in patients with hepatitis B cirrhosis and portal hypertension.Methods From January 2020 to January 2022, 92 patients with portal hypertension and hepatitis B cirrhosis who were admitted to the hospital were selected as the research group, and underwent real-time two-dimensional shear wave elastography. Another 84 patients with normal livers were selected as the control group. Liver elasticity values and spleen elasticity values were compared between the two groups. All patients with hepatitis B cirrhosis and portal hypertension underwent electronic gastroscopy were divided into no, mild, moderate, and severe varices according to the degree of esophageal varices. The liver and spleen elasticity values were compared among the four groups. The incidence of esophageal variceal bleeding in patients with hepatitis B cirrhosis and portal hypertension was counted. Univariate analysis was used to analyze the influencing factors of esophageal varices bleeding in patients with hepatitis B cirrhosis and portal hypertension. Logistic regression analysis was performed on the influencing factors. Receiver operating curve (ROC) was used to analyze the value of liver elasticity value and spleen elasticity value in predicting esophageal varices bleeding in patients with hepatitis B cirrhosis and portal hypertension.Results The liver elasticity value and spleen elasticity value of the study group were higher than those of the control group (P < 0.05). There were significant differences in liver elasticity value and spleen elasticity value in patients with different degrees of esophageal varices, and any two comparisons were statistically significant (P < 0.05). That is, with the increase in the degree of esophageal varices, the patient's liver elasticity value and spleen elasticity value gradually increased. Among 92 patients with hepatitis B cirrhosis and portal hypertension, a total of 24 had esophageal variceal bleeding, and the incidence rate was 26.09% (24/92). Univariate analysis showed that there were significant differences in the degree of esophageal varices, portal vein width, prothrombin time, liver elasticity, and spleen elasticity between patients with esophageal variceal bleeding and those without (P < 0.05). The composition ratio of severe esophageal varices, portal vein width, prothrombin time, liver elasticity, and spleen elasticity in patients with esophageal variceal bleeding were higher than those in patients without. Logistic multivariate regression analysis showed that the degree of esophageal varices [ O^R = 3.180 (95% CI: 1.037, 9.757) ], liver elasticity value [O^R = 3.873 (95% CI: 1.262, 11.881) ], and spleen elasticity value [ O^R = 3.647 (95% CI: 1.189, 11.189) ] were risk factors for esophageal variceal bleeding in patients with hepatitis B cirrhosis and portal hypertension (P < 0.05). ROC analysis showed that the optimal cut-off points of liver elasticity value and spleen elasticity value for predicting esophageal variceal bleeding in patients with hepatitis B cirrhosis and portal hypertension were 15.39 kPa and 30.01 kPa, the sensitivity was 83.33% (95% CI: 0.626, 0.953) and 79.17% (95% CI: 0.577, 0.929), the specificity was 86.76% (95% CI: 0.764, 0.938) and 89.71% (95% CI: 0.798, 0.957), and any two comparisons were statistically significant (P < 0.05).Conclusion Liver elasticity value and spleen elasticity value are of great value in predicting the risk of variceal bleeding in patients with hepatitis B cirrhosis and portal hypertension.