Abstract:Objective To explore the clinical characteristics and risk factors of the progressive pulmonary fibrosis phenotype in patients with connective tissue disease-related interstitial lung disease (CTD-ILD) and provide theoretical evidence for the early diagnosis of the disease.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical data from 127 patients diagnosed with CTD-ILD between November 2015 and March 2019 at the Affiliated Hospital of Guilin Medical College. Of these patients, 41 presented with a progressive pulmonary fibrosis phenotype (PF-ILD group), and 86 had a non-progressive fibrosis phenotype (non-PF-ILD group). Comparative analyses were performed regarding demographic characteristics, disease spectrum, clinical manifestations, laboratory indicators, and high-resolution CT (HRCT) imaging features between the two groups. Multivariate logistic regression models were used to analyze influencing factors, and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was generated to evaluate the accuracy of the logistic regression model.Results The incidence of the progressive pulmonary fibrosis phenotype among CTD-ILD patients was 32.3%. The disease spectrum mainly included polymyositis/dermatomyositis, rheumatoid arthritis, systemic sclerosis, and Sj?gren's syndrome. Compared to the non-PF-ILD group, the PF-ILD group had a shorter disease duration (P < 0.05), increased cough and dyspnea (P < 0.05), elevated white blood cell count, neutrophil ratio, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, and C-reactive protein (P < 0.05), and decreased serum albumin levels (P < 0.05). Additionally, the PF-ILD group showed higher IgA levels (P < 0.05), a decrease in B lymphocyte proportions, and elevated CEA and CA199 levels (P < 0.05). HRCT imaging features demonstrated an increased number of honeycomb changes (P < 0.05) in the PF-ILD group. Elevated IgA and CA199 levels, along with HRCT displaying honeycomb changes, were independent risk factors for the development of progressive pulmonary fibrosis in CTD-ILD patients (P < 0.05). The ROC curve for this logistic regression model had an area under the curve of 0.818 (95% CI: 0.735, 0.884), a Youden index of approximately 0.522, a sensitivity of 57.50% (95% CI: 0.451, 0.682), and a specificity of 94.67% (95% CI: 0.905, 0.977).Conclusion Elevated IgA and CA199 levels, along with HRCT imaging displaying honeycomb changes, are independent risk factors for the development of progressive pulmonary fibrosis in CTD-ILD patients.