Abstract:Objective To explore the effects of immunoglobulin, complement changes and minimal residual disease (MRD) after induction chemotherapy on the prognosis of children with acute B-cell lymphoblastic leukemia (BALL).Methods A total of 108 children with BALL who underwent induction chemotherapy in the Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University from July 2019 to July 2021 were selected as the research subjects. Immunoglobulin and complement were detected by immunoturbidimetry before treatment, and bone marrow MRD during and at the end of treatment was detected by flow cytometry. The prognosis of children with BALL was statistically analyzed through telephone or home visits. With the death of the children or the end date of follow-up (March 30, 2023) as the follow-up endpoint, the deceased children were included in Group A and the surviving children in group B. The factors influencing the prognosis of children with BALL were analyzed, and the ROC curve was used to analyze the value of predicting the prognosis of children with BALL.Results As of the follow-up date, the follow-up period ranged from 20 to 44 months, with a median follow-up period of 32 months. During the follow-up period, 12 children voluntarily withdrew, 7 children lost contact due to the change of home address, and among the remaining 89 children, the mortality rate was 20.22% (18/89). The levels of complement C3, IgM and Flt3L in group A were all lower than those in group B (P < 0.05). After the treatment, the positive rate of MRD, the high-risk layer of risk stratification and the level of vWF in group A were all higher than those in group B (P < 0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that the risk stratification was high-risk [O^R = 7.629 (95% CI: 2.608, 22.321) ] and positive MRD at the end of treatment [O^R = 8.508 (95% CI: 2.908, 24.892) ] and high vWF level [O^R = 1.302 (95% CI: 1.122, 1.510) ] were risk factors for death in children with BALL (P < 0.05); Low complement C3 level [O^R = 0.516 (95% CI: 0.176, 0.854) ], low IgM level [O^R = 0.596 (95% CI: 0.204, 0.906) ] and low Flt3L level [O^R = 0.805 (95% CI: 0.721, 0.897) ] were protective factors for the death of children with BALL (P < 0.05). Through ROC curve analysis, the sensitivities of IgM, complement C3, high-risk risk stratification, positive MRD after treatment, vWF, Flt3L, and combined prediction of death in children with BALL were 77.8% (95% CI: 0.676, 0.880), 77.8% (95% CI: 0.676, 0.880), 72.2% (95% CI: 0.620, 0.824), 72.2% (95% CI: 0.620, 0.824), 76.7% (95% CI: 0.665, 0.869), 80.0% (95% CI: 0.698, 0.902), 94.4% (95% CI: 0.842, 1.000); The specificities were 83.1% (95% CI: 0.729, 0.933), 80.3% (95% CI: 0.701, 0.905), 78.9% (95% CI: 0.687, 0.891), 74.7% (95% CI: 0.645, 0.849), 80.0% (95% CI: 0.698, 0.902), 53.3% (95% CI: 0.431, 0.635), 93.0% (95% CI: 0.828, 1.000); area under the curve were 0.818(95% CI:0.706, 0.929)、0.803(95% CI:0.687, 0.919)、0.750(95% CI:0.622, 0.878)、0.733(95% CI:0.603, 0.864)、0.777(95% CI:0.661, 0.894)、0.799(95% CI:0.688, 0.910)、0.925(95% CI:0.842, 1.000).Conclusions The combined prediction of IgM, complement C3, risk stratification, positive MRD after treatment, vWF, and Flt3L has a relatively high value in predicting the death of children with BALL.